Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-13 0.486084 0.561616 0.644108 0.740768 0.850800 0.972030 1.115591
2025-07-20 0.377281 0.484763 0.613902 0.779887 0.986924 1.235948 1.557431
2025-07-27 0.311186 0.432521 0.588881 0.803821 1.090091 1.456524 1.959129
2025-08-03 0.261337 0.387807 0.560522 0.811408 1.163871 1.638256 2.321274
2025-08-10 0.221516 0.348293 0.530489 0.808208 1.216828 1.791056 2.652829
2025-08-17 0.188829 0.313034 0.500023 0.797741 1.254367 1.921274 2.959668
2025-08-24 0.163080 0.283950 0.473894 0.788660 1.290083 2.048473 3.269219
2025-08-31 0.138653 0.253079 0.440432 0.762954 1.295495 2.127900 3.510174
2025-09-07 0.130644 0.248405 0.448170 0.803484 1.408422 2.380812 4.038684
2025-09-14 0.113245 0.224710 0.420895 0.781857 1.416128 2.465360 4.303122
2025-09-21 0.098529 0.203741 0.395614 0.760287 1.420674 2.543300 4.560418
2025-09-28 0.086631 0.186391 0.374615 0.743606 1.431207 2.630628 4.838177
2025-10-05 0.080095 0.178950 0.371574 0.760377 1.504621 2.834532 5.337716
2025-10-12 0.076619 0.177336 0.379578 0.799025 1.622142 3.126069 6.015730
2025-10-19 0.071900 0.172396 0.380336 0.823385 1.714471 3.378681 6.641755
2025-10-26 0.066060 0.164141 0.373296 0.831134 1.774857 3.576241 7.179969
2025-11-02 0.059915 0.154272 0.361626 0.827860 1.812518 3.732880 7.651268
2025-11-09 0.053873 0.143746 0.347247 0.817156 1.833692 3.858664 8.071464
2025-11-16 0.048628 0.134358 0.334232 0.807869 1.856580 3.988817 8.508459
2025-11-23 0.042825 0.122684 0.314576 0.781580 1.840573 4.039215 8.789283
2025-11-30 0.041905 0.123500 0.324244 0.823029 1.975224 4.406383 9.736613
2025-12-07 0.037288 0.113771 0.307432 0.800912 1.966726 4.475196 10.073351
2025-12-14 0.033188 0.104811 0.291405 0.778852 1.956090 4.538131 10.401220